Financial Projections
5-year revenue model and unit economics
Year 1 ARR
$2.5M
Year 3 ARR
$18M
Year 5 ARR
$52M
LTV:CAC
8.2x
Revenue Projections
| Year | Customers | ARPU | ARR | Growth |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 25 | $100K | $2.5M | — |
| 2027 | 85 | $95K | $8.1M | 224% |
| 2028 | 210 | $86K | $18M | 122% |
| 2029 | 420 | $82K | $34.4M | 91% |
| 2030 | 680 | $76K | $51.7M | 50% |
Expense Breakdown
Engineering
40%
Sales & Marketing
30%
Operations
20%
G&A
10%
CAC
$12,200
LTV
$100,000
Payback Period
1.5 mo
Gross Margin
82%
local_fire_department Burn Rate & Runway
Monthly Burn
$180K
Runway
14 months
Current Cash
$2.52M
analytics Key Assumptions
Monthly Churn
5%
Referral Rate
15%
YoY Logo Retention
60%
Blended ARPU
$95K